Category Archives: Sports

Regarding Lovie Smith’s Firing

When your head coach is being fired, the fans usually know about it long before it happens. That coach is on the hotseat all year. It gets talked about in the local paper, during pregame shows, eventually it’s a topic of discussion in the national media. The coach’s name comes up a lot, and barring anything major like a deep playoff run, it happens the Monday after the season. It might be a moment of mixed emotions for players and even fans, but by and large it’s a moment of catharsis for the franchise. People recognize that a change needed to be made for the team to be competitive going forward, that the coach had lost the locker room and just wasn’t going to be effective.

I, like most Chicago Bears fans, did not see Lovie Smith’s firing coming. It was part of a record-breaking Monday of firings–which, for the record, I did see coming. The Cardinals, Chargers, Chiefs, Bills, Browns, and Eagles all clearly needed to make a change.

But the Bears? Lovie wasn’t talked about frequently in the media as being on the hotseat. I do not anticipate that it was seen as a moment of catharsis for most fans (though I have lost some immediacy from those conversations by no longer living in the Chicago area). Most importantly, I really don’t think anyone will argue that Lovie had lost the locker room. I gave myself a day to think about it, because I recognize that my first reaction was as a fan, but even after giving it time to cool off I still think it was an incredibly stupid and shortsighted move.

Forget the Super Bowl run in 2006. I understand the NFL is a “what have you done for me lately” league. That’s fine. There are three very clear short-term reasons why Lovie Smith should not be gone.

1. The Last 3 Seasons. Just look at where this team is right now. Look at the last three seasons. An NFC Championship berth that no one expected, a Jay Cutler injury away from being the hottest team in the playoffs, and a 10-6 record that should’ve led to the playoffs. That’s three seasons in a row that they were right there in the thick of things. And if you want to get really interesting, what if Jay Cutler doesn’t suffer a concussion, plays well against the Texans, and we’re looking at 11-5 instead of 10-6? Can you really fire a guy because he lost his starting quarterback at inopportune moments twice, considering he easily could’ve gone to the playoffs three years in a row?

2. The Locker Room. One of the main reasons you make a change at head coach is because your coach has lost the locker room. I realize it’s an emotional time for the team, but it sounds like the organization has lost the locker room by firing the head coach. In the immediate aftermath of the firing, Brian Urlacher was quoted as saying “we’re all mad right now.” Jay Cutler, one of the most reserved guys on the planet, cut his radio show short and said “I think it’s going to be a very sad day at Hallas Hall.” Devin Hester talked about retiring for crying out loud. And those aren’t just any three guys: those are three of the most important guys on your team who might not buy into what you’re doing as an organization anymore. Those are guys you can’t do this without.

3. The Future. How many years does Brian Urlacher have left in the tank? How about Charles Tillman, Lance Briggs? Julius Peppers, even? The window of opportunity with this elite defense is about to close. There is no way any of the available candidates out there is going to come in and establish himself the way Smith did soon enough to take advantage of that window of opportunity.

That, to me, is by far the biggest reason why Lovie Smith should be the head coach of the Chicago Bears: I honestly believed, and I can tell the team honestly believed, that they would get another shot at the Super Bowl before the current crop of players was finished. Now? I would honestly be pretty shocked to see the Bears anywhere near the Super Bowl in the next few years. And that makes me really sad. If anyone deserves a ring, it’s Brian Urlacher.

I think Jay Cutler said it best. Yesterday was a very sad day for the Chicago Bears.

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NFL Week 17 Picks

Last week was a fantastic week. Underdogs I picked pulled reverse covers, favorites I picked crushed their opponents (with a few notable exceptions), and everything just seemed to swing my way in general.

Now we’re on to the last week of the regular season, my last chance to pad my numbers going into the playoffs. Week 17 is always a difficult one because of all the starters who are resting, but let’s just see what we can do.

Last Week: 10-5-1 (12-4 outright)
Season: 121-114-3 (160-80-1)

NY Jets +3.5 over Buffalo
Okay, hold on, let me get this right. The Bills are better than the Dolphins who are better than the Jets–no, wait, that’s not right. Okay, the Jets are better than the Dolphins who are better than the–no, hold on. Oh, right, got it: the AFC East is terrible aside from New England.

In all seriousness? This is a difficult pick. You have the Jets in total disarray, but they’ve been in total disarray all year and will still win the occasional game. You have the Bills also an absolute mess. I guess I’ll just err on the side of “I don’t really want to be giving any points with either of these teams”?

Baltimore +2.5 over Cincinnati
I know it’s starting to feel like it just isn’t Baltimore’s year, but there’s no way Cincy beats Pittsburgh and Baltimore in back-to-back weeks… right?

Cleveland +10 over Pittsburgh (Pittsburgh outright)
You really expect me to lay 10 on Pittsburgh right now? Give me a break.

Indianapolis +7 over Houston (Houston outright)
What about the recent play of either of these two teams justifies this spread?

Tennessee -4 over Jacksonville
This is the kind of game you don’t even notice is happening unless you’re making picks. So, this game and Buffalo/Jacksonville are the play-ins for the Irrelevant Bowl, right?

NY Giants -7 over Philadelphia
New York needs a lot of help to get into the playoffs, but the only significance this game holds for Philadelphia is it’s likely Andy Reid’s last as head coach.

Chicago -3 over Detroit
Yeah, I think I’ll take the team playing for a shot at the playoffs over the team that’s falling apart at the seams, thanks.

Atlanta -5 over Tampa Bay
Atlanta has already clinched the top seed, but they do have one thing left to play for: a perfect 8-0 home record.

Carolina +5 over New Orleans (New Orleans outright)
Not much to say about this one, surprisingly.

New England -10.5 over Miami
This might very well depend on whether or not the Patriots are still playing for a first-round bye by the time it kicks off, so I reserve my right to change my pick before 4:25 U.S. Eastern Time.

Green Bay -3 over Minnesota
I really hope Peterson breaks the record. I really do.

Denver -16 over Kansas City
Difficult pick. I almost shied away because of the possibility Manning gets pulled for a significant portion of the game, but Denver could be playing for the top seed.

Oakland +9.5 over San Diego (San Diego outright)
Oh, there are three play-ins for the Irrelevant Bowl? How is that going to work?

Arizona +16.5 over San Francisco (San Francisco outright)
San Francisco hasn’t been nearly reliable enough to play that much on them.

Seattle -11 over St. Louis
Yeah, I’m pretty nervous about laying that much on Seattle, but it is a home game.

Washington -3 over Dallas
Sounds about right. The fact that Dallas is still in postseason contention at this point is absolutely unconscionable to me. But having RGIII play in a nationally televised night game for a playoff spot has to have NFL marketing executives absolutely salivating.

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NFL Week 16 Picks

Atlanta 31, Detroit 18
I had Atlanta 3.5
Although I was on record not wanting Rice’s record to fall, I have to admit it was fun to watch, especially with the Falcons’ defense clearly focusing almost exclusively on Johnson. There’s just something special about everyone in the stadium knowing that you’re trying to stop one guy, and not being able to do it.

This Week: 1-0 (1-0 outright)
Season: 112-109-3 (149-76-1)

Green Bay -12.5 over Tennessee
Carolina -8.5 over Oakland
Houston -7.5 over Minnesota
I group these together because these are games you look at and think, “Gee, that line may be a bit high,” but I still can’t bring myself to go the other way. Minnesota/Houston is really the one I came the closest to flipping on, with Minnesota playing for their playoff lives and Adrian Peterson chasing history.

Miami -4.5 over Buffalo
Indianapolis -7 over Kansas City
Washington -6.5 over Philadelphia
Tampa Bay -3 over St. Louis
Denver -12 over Cleveland
Chicago -6.5 over Arizona
These, by contrast, feel so safe I almost wanted to flip one of them out of sheer boredom. The toughest is probably Chicago, as Arizona’s defense tends to come up big at home.

Cincinnati +3.5 over Pittsburgh
I might well end up regretting this one, as Cincinnati every year seems to come up small against Pittsburgh and Baltimore, but you just really get the feeling that this division has weakened significantly.

New England -14.5 over Jacksonville
Any time your fanbase is legitimately excited about Tim Tebow’s arrival being described as a “virtual certainty” by ESPN, it really isn’t your year.

New Orleans +3 over Dallas
I have trouble understanding this line. Dallas may be fighting for a playoff spot, but New Orleans has shown throughout the year that they’re the better team.

NY Giants -2.5 over Baltimore
A matchup between two talented teams absolutely no one is afraid of. I feel like this one should have a cute nickname of some sort but I’m drawing a blank.

San Francisco +1 over Seattle
It’s really hard to pick against Seattle at home, but Kap really showed me something against New England.

San Diego +2.5 over NY Jets
I get the Chargers are bad. I really do. But the Jets are starting their third string quarterback because their first two quarterbacks are just that bad. You at least have to take the points, right?

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Saturday Night Football pick

Wahoo. Haven’t had one of these in a while.

Atlanta -3.5 over Detroit
Despite finally putting up a blowout win, I still don’t really ever like Atlanta to win by much as they are not nearly as good as their record and underachieving teams are the bane of my existence. (Remember: the Fraud Bowl has a play-in between Baltimore and Houston for the AFC, but Atlanta is undisputed as representing the NFC.) Still, I feel like I have little choice against the free-falling Detroit Lions, who are just an absolute mess at this point.

While we’re here, let me just say for the record that while I absolutely love watching Calvin Johnson, I absolutely do not want him to break Jerry Rice’s single-season receiving yards record. Again: I like Johnson, but Rice’s success was due less to being a physical freak of nature (he actually wasn’t even that fast) and more due to absolutely obsessive preparation and work ethic, which led to him running absolutely perfect routes. Plus, Johnson’s pursuit of the record A) is mostly indicative of how the game has changed (rule changes give passing offenses huge advantages they didn’t have in Rice’s time), and B) does not come as part of a great team (the Lions, as previously mentioned, are actually in completely disarray right now), but rather a great individual performance, which is really not what football is about. And Jerry Rice was always my favorite player to watch as a kid, and the 49ers my favorite non-Chicago Bears team. Rice was actually the only non-Chicago player whose jersey I had, so I won’t deny there is a huge nostalgia factor there.

This is, of course, in direct contrast to my view on Adrian Peterson’s relentless pursuit of Eric Dickerson’s single-season rushing yards record, which I would be happy to see fall. It isn’t anything against Dickerson, but I never saw him play so there’s no nostalgia factor there. Plus there isn’t the all-time greatness factor there with the single-season mark really pretty much all he’s known for. Not to mention the fact that Peterson has just been better, rushing for more yards in fewer attempts, and notably rushing for over 900 yards after the first hit, which is absolutely silly and makes it pretty likely that he’ll have over 1,000 rushing yards on the season after the first hit. And oh yeah, by the way? He’s doing all of this after tearing his ACL last Christmas Eve, and he came back early from ACL surgery; he wasn’t even supposed to start the season. So, yeah. More inclined to want him to break that record. Just saying.

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NFL Week 15 Results

Green Bay 21, Chicago 13.
I had Chicago +2.5 over Green Bay
I don’t want to talk about it.

NY Giants 0, Atlanta 34
I had NY Giants +1 over Atlanta
It’s just hard to tell when the Giants are going to bother showing up. Meanwhile, Atlanta finally has a convincing win over a good team.

Tampa Bay 0, New Orleans 41
I had New Orleans -3.5 over Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay just looked absolutely outmatched, and Drew Brees looked like he was in the middle of the playoff hunt. (Probably because he feels like he, and his team, has something to prove.)

Minnesota 36, St. Louis 22
I had St. Louis -3 over Minnesota
So, I forgot the rule that when you have two basically similarly mediocre teams, you probably want to pick the one who has the best running back on the planet.

Speaking of which, how about Adrian Peterson? Dude wasn’t even supposed to start the season coming off of ACL surgery, and he’s already set a new career high for rushing yards in a season with two weeks left to playand he’s within striking distance of Eric Dickerson’s “unbreakable” single-season rushing record. Unreal.

Washington 38, Cleveland 21
I had Washington +4 over Cleveland
This line was Washington -1.5, and quickly swung to Cleveland -4 when it was announced RGIII couldn’t go. People seem to have forgotten that Cousins was a very high draft pick for a backup QB (with many people questioning the Redskins’ choice to draft two QBs so high), and that he has shown himself more than adequate at running the Redskins’ offense on numerous occasions this season.

Jacksonville 3, Miami 24
I had Miami -8 over Jacksonville
You don’t actually expect me to have anything about this game, right?

Denver 34, Baltimore 17
I had Denver -3 over Baltimore
The final score makes it sound a lot closer than it was with all but 3 of Baltimore’s points coming in garbage time. This game simultaneously concretized Denver as a legitimate Super Bowl threat and Baltimore as a fraud.

Indianapolis 17, Houston 29
I had Indianapolis +10 over Houston (Houston outright)
Indianapolis was well on their way to covering until Houston kicked a meaningless last-minute field goal. Are you kidding me?

Carolina 31, San Diego 7
I had Carolina +3 over San Diego
So yeah. That line made a lot of sense, right?

Seattle 50, Buffalo 17
Seattle -5 over Buffalo
That was a road game, guys. We might have to take Seattle seriously now.

Oh, wait, it was against Buffalo?

Okay. Let’s mark that as a solid “maybe.”

Detroit 10, Arizona 38
I had Detroit -6 over Arizona
In my defense, I made this pick largely because Arizona doesn’t have a quarterback. Robert Lindley’s line on the day: 14 of 21 for 104 yards, no touchdowns, and one interception.

Unfortunately, Stafford decided it would be cool to throw three interceptions (two of them for touchdowns) and Beanie Wells had three (three) touchdowns despite only carrying the ball for 67 yards. Soooo… yeah! That happened!

Pittsburgh 24, Dallas 27 (OT)
Dallas PK over Pittsburgh
Pretty much exactly the game I expected.

Kansas City 0, Oakland 15
Oakland -4.5 over Kansas City
That must’ve been an absolutely excruciating game for fans of either of these teams to watch. Let me give you a quick game summary. First quarter: Sebastian Janikowski kicks one field goal. Second quarter: Sebastian Janikowski kicks two field goals. Third quarter: Sebastian Janikowski kicks a field goal. Fourth quarter: Sebastian Janikowski kicks a field goal.

San Francisco 41, New England 34
New England -4.5 over San Francisco
So, that happened.

At this point I have to admit there’s a serious possibility I was wrong in the Alex Smith/Colin Kaepernick debate. It’s a serious possibility.

Meanwhile, the 49ers score 24 unanswered to jump out to a 31-3 lead, the Patriots score 28 unanswered to tie the game at 31-all, and then the 49ers outscore them 10-3 over the last 7 minutes of the game to hold onto the win. Kinda wow.

NY Jets 10, Tennessee 14
NY Jets +1.5 over Tennessee
Yeah: that was totally worth everyone’s time. How was that the Monday Night Football game? That was one of those “why are they even bothering playing this, much less televising it?” games. I know it technically eliminated the Jets from the playoffs, but let’s be honest… that’s just a mathematical technicality. They’ve been out of the playoff hunt for weeks.

Last Week: 9-7 (10-6 outright)
Season: 111-109-3 (148-76-1)

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NFL Week 15 Picks

[Note: Edited to account for two major changes in spreads.]

This Week: 1-0 against the spread (1-0 outright)
Last Week: 8-6-1 (10-5)
Season: 103-102-3 (139-70-1)

Chicago +2.5 over Green Bay
The season hanging in the balance against Green Bay at Soldier Field. I’m reasonably certain that just a few Bears fans may have imagined this scenario once or twice.

NY Giants +1 over Atlanta
The Giants have had an up and down season, but Eli has continued to play at an elite level when it really matters and Atlanta just doesn’t come up big against playoff teams.

New Orleans -3.5 over Tampa Bay
I don’t know. I went back and forth on this one a lot. Both of these teams have shown a lot of good and a lot of bad all year. It really just depends who shows up.

St. Louis -3 over Minnesota
Tough pick. Peterson could win this game by himself, but the Vikings lost their only other legitimate offensive threat and we’re pretty sure their quarterback stinks.

Washington +4 over Cleveland
The Redskins have seen their season, and extended future, flash before their eyes more than once this season when Robert Griffin III has thrown his body around like he’s invincible. So far, the chips in the armor the big hits have found haven’t been enough to sideline him for any significant length of time, but he really needs to protect himself better. (That being said, Cousins did win the game for him. And people questioned them drafting two quarterbacks!)

[Note: Washington was favored to win this game until it was announced that RGIII was a no-go. I still think they win it with Cousins.]

Miami -8 over Jacksonville
The Florida Bowl! See a mediocre team face an absolutely horrid team in a game with absolutely zero playoff implications!

Denver -3 over Baltimore
I’m nervous about this because Baltimore is one of the few teams with a legitimate home field advantage (not on the order of, say, Seattle, but still perceptible), but they’ve just been absolutely exposed as frauds this year while Denver has looked more and more legitimate as time has gone on. The NFC’s representative in the Fraud Bowl is clearly Atlanta, but the AFC might need a one-game playoff between Houston and Baltimore.

Indianapolis +10 over Houston (Houston outright)
Speaking of the AFC’s other Fraud Bowl contender, I love double digit lines in favor of the Texans the longer the season goes on. It’s just so easy to keep banging them to win but not cover.

Carolina +3 over San Diego
A classic case of Carolina not being as bad as you think they are and San Diego absolutely being as bad as you think they are. This line is genuinely baffling.

Seattle -5 over Buffalo
I was really tempted to take the points seeing as we’re getting Road Seattle rather than Home Seattle, but… it’s the Bills. And, again, a stirring tribute to Seattle’s home field advantage that last week they were giving 10 against an Arizona team that’s nearly equivalent to this Buffalo team and I didn’t even hesitate to grab them -10.

Detroit -6 over Arizona
I don’t feel great about picking the Lions to beat anyone by a touchdown, but then again Arizona.

(To be clear: that wasn’t an editing mistake or me forgetting to finish the sentence. That was the end of the sentence.)

Dallas PK over Pittsburgh
With the kind of shape Pittsburgh’s quarterbacks are in, I’m just not comfortable taking them.

Oakland -4.5 over Kansas City
Okay, look. Carson Palmer has had a really bad year. A really bad year.

Kansas City fans are excited that their team switched to Brady Quinn. You didn’t read that wrong. Kansas City fans are excited that their team switched to Brady Quinn. Brady Quinn is, in their minds, the best option they have available at quarterback.

With the first pick of the 2013 NFL Draft, the Kansas City Chiefs select…

New England -4.5 over San Francisco
I want to thank Jim Harbaugh for inexplicably hamstringing his team and making what should’ve been a hard pick much, much easier.

NY Jets +1.5 over Tennessee
So you have these two teams, right? They’re really awful, and having absolutely awful seasons, but what’s nice is they’re really predictable. They’re going to lay down against good teams, but they’re also going to beat just about every bad team that comes along. So it’s actually nice having them around, because you know exactly what they’re going to do.

Then they play each other.

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Thursday Night Football Pick

Cincinnati -5 over Philadelphia. Don’t have time to get into analysis tonight, unfortunately, but just wanted that pick on record.

NFL Week 14 Picks

Denver 26, Oakland 13
I had Denver -10
This one you’re going to just have to take my word for it, because I didn’t post it anywhere. The “smart play” is never to pick against home dogs when they’re getting 10, but it’s difficult to defend the intelligence of that position when the home dog in question is Oakland and they’re facing a rejuvenated Peyton Manning on national television. For the record, I believe the last time I picked against Peyton Manning in a nationally televised night game was never.

This Week: 1-0 ATS (1-0 outright)
Last Week: 7-9 (8-8)
Season: 95-96-2 (128-66-1)

Washington -1.5 over Baltimore
Washington is in that weird place where I feel nervous picking them but I also feel nervous picking against them. And it’s exactly that kind of team that makes sports fun to watch.

Kansas City +7 over Cleveland (Cleveland outright)
I tried to suck it up and take Cleveland -7, but I don’t love that pick since it just isn’t going to happen if Cleveland falls behind at any point during that game, and the voice in the back of my head saying “don’t be a hero,” was too loud to ignore this time. Furthermore, if you look up the Browns’ record against the spread and specifically check their record as the favorite, you will instead find this always-reassuring bit of information: “The Browns have not been a favorite.”

San Diego +7.5 over Pittsburgh (Pittsburgh outright)
Call me crazy, but 7.5 points just seems mighty high with a starting quarterback returning from missing significant time when your team never really blows people out in the first place (overtime against KC anyone?)

Indianapolis -4 over Tennessee
The line’s too high and I really ought to take the points, but Indianapolis needs this game for playoff positioning, so you know they’ll be playing hard.

NY Jets -3 over Jacksonville
Why do we need to play this game? Seriously, why do we need to put America through this?

Chicago -2 over Minnesota
Losing Percy Harvin for the season puts a huge damper on the Vikes’ already longshot playoff hopes. Very surprised to see that this line was bet down. People have really been hammering Minnesota picks all week?

Atlanta -3.5 over Carolina
I really considered going the other way on this one, but Atlanta’s potential for a breakout offensive explosion dissuaded me.

Tampa Bay -7.5 over Philadelphia
The Andy Reid era is not ending gracefully.

St. Louis +3 over Buffalo
See what happens when a stoppable force meets a movable object!

Cincinnati -3 over Dallas
Hey, remember when a few people still stubbornly picked Dallas to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl before the season? That was funny.

Miami +10.5 over San Francisco (San Francisco outright)
Hear that, Harbaugh? I’m gunshy taking you guys with a double digit line since you went with Kaepernick.

NY Giants -4.5 over New Orleans
I’m the only one still stubbornly picking the Giants, right? This is happening? Does that mean it’s actually my fault they’re losing? Because someone believes in them?

Seattle -10 over Arizona
It’s really pretty impressive how pronounced Seattle’s home field advantage is. There’s no way I make this pick on the road.

Green Bay -6.5 over Detroit
I think Aaron Rodgers can beat Detroit by a touchdown at home. It’s just this funny feeling I have.

New England -3.5 over Houston
Both of these teams are soft (like every AFC contender), but when it gets right down to it I still trust New England to come through when it counts more than I do Houston. Plus we’re talking about a primetime game, which Houston hasn’t exactly thrived in this year, and which Tom Brady is no stranger to. If Houston wins this game, however, they will become the indisputable AFC favorite that everyone already seems to think they are.

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This Week: 0-1 (0-1 outright)
Season: 88-87-2 (118-60-1 outright)

Chicago -3 over Seattle
I don’t love Seattle on the road, and I think Chicago is the superior team anyway. Only giving a field goal is a pretty huge gift here, really.

Green Bay -8 over Minnesota
I don’t feel good about this pick no matter which way I go, which is usually a good time to just pick the team you think is going to win.

San Francisco -7.5 over St. Louis
This is the space where I should be explaining taking the points because San Francisco and St. Louis played to a tie recently, and St. Louis is coming off of a win. Thing is, I’m not sure St. Louis beats Chicago’s backup quarterback or New Orleans, and San Francisco did both with Kaepernick under center.

NY Jets -6 over Arizona
Notably bad season aside, New York has shown it can beat bad teams, and Arizona is a very, very bad team.

Carolina -3 over Kansas City
I’m not going to attempt to comment on the circumstances surrounding this game, but the enormity of them makes me feel disinclined to comment on the game itself. I don’t want to speculate on what affect this unthinkable tragedy might have on the Kansas City Chiefs, as I feel that sort of thing has a tendency to cheapen human life at the expense of something much less important. Let’s just move on.

Indianapolis +6 over Detroit (Detroit outright)
I think it’s reasonably possible that Indianapolis wins this game outright, the way they’ve been playing.

Buffalo -6 over Jacksonville
Come on. Jacksonville isn’t going to play three good games in a row, right?

New England -7.5 over Miami
New England started strong, took a bit of a dip, and then came back on. Miami started strong, took a much larger dip, and hasn’t really recovered. Plus they had a lower ceiling to begin with.

Houston -6.5 over Tennessee
Tennessee has been one of the hardest teams to predict all year. Every time I think I have them figured out, they find some new and creative way to confound me.

Denver -7.5 over Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is impressing me more and more as the year goes on, but Denver is starting to seem like a legitimate Super Bowl contender and Peyton Manning a legitimate MVP candidate.

Baltimore -7.5 over Pittsburgh
This feels high, but Baltimore has a legitimate home field advantage (surprisingly rare in the NFL), and Pittsburgh has Charlie Batch.

Oakland +2.5 over Cleveland
I started to try to think about this game analytically, and a little voice in the back of my head just kept saying, “Just take the points” louder and louder until I had to pay attention to it.

Cincinnati -1 over San Diego
-1? Really? That still means “we’re not actually sure they can win,” right? That hasn’t changed recently? Thanks for the early Christmas present, I guess.

Philadelphia +10.5 over Dallas (Dallas outright)
Whoa! Chill out there, fellas. Philadelphia is bad and all, but Dallas shouldn’t be favored by 10.5 over anyone.

Meanwhile, how painful is it that Philadelphia is playing in a nationally telecast night game for the second week in a row? This really wasn’t the ideal time to pull a flex scheduling sleight of hand? You wouldn’t rather see Denver/Tampa? Chicago/Seattle? Green Bay/Minnesota?

NY Giants -3 over Washington
Don’t think for a second that this pick doesn’t make me deeply nervous. Don’t you even think it.

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2012 Hall of Fame Class: This is going to be INTERESTING.

Actually, it already is interesting.

It somehow escaped my attention until it became the lead story on ESPN today that Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, and Sammy Sosa are going to be on the Hall of Fame ballot for the first time together. This is going to end up being the defining precedent of how the Hall of Fame treats the “steroids era,” and we already pretty much know how it’s going to turn out. The Hall of Fame voting process is too big of a mess for them to come to any kind of consensus on how players ought to be evaluated, meaning there’s absolutely no way any of these guys are getting in.

That might be the outcome you want, but the way we get there is absolutely not okay. Why? ESPN’s coverage of this issue has actually been pretty exceptional, and I’ll turn to one of the two excellent articles I want to share with you tonight, this one by David Schoenfield:

It’s a mess. You could hardly devise a worse system, one in which 500-plus voters with varying degrees of knowledge assess the pool of candidates with few guidelines.

You have voters who won’t vote for players who used performance-enhancing drugs.

You have voters who won’t vote for players they suspect used performance-enhancing drugs.

You have voters who won’t vote for players who had big muscles.

Yeah. It’s going to turn into a witch hunt. If you think steroid users shouldn’t be included, Bonds, Clemens, Sosa and (when he becomes eligible after he retires) Alex Rodriguez are clearly out. But you know it isn’t going to stop there. This thing is an absolute mess. What it needs is clear criteria for evaluating a player, including what to do about PED use or (perhaps more importantly) suspected PED use.

A bit more from Schoenfield:

You have columnists voting who mostly covered the NFL or NBA and saw maybe three baseball games a year and can’t tell Edgar Martinez from Carmelo Martinez.

You have a pool of voters that doesn’t include Vin Scully, Bill James, Bob Costas, John Thorn, Joe Torre or anybody else who isn’t a 10-year member of the BBWAA.

This, to me, is by far the biggest problem with this system, and I am really glad Schoenfield pointed it out. Do you want to know how ridiculous this is? You don’t have to go any further than Wikipedia. (Seriously.)

Bill James, the man who is the most directly responsible for how we understand player performance today. This guy: George William “Bill” James is an American baseball writer, historian, and statistician whose work has been widely influential. Since 1977, James has written more than two dozen books devoted to baseball history and statistics.

Vin Scully? Only the most respected sports broadcaster of any sport. This guy: Vincent Edward “Vin” Scully is an American sportscaster, best known as the play-by-play announcer for the Los Angeles Dodgers baseball team ever since the Dodgers moved to Los Angeles in 1957.

1957! Do you know who was the Los Angeles Dodgers announcer before him? No one! Because they were the Brooklyn Dodgers! He’s been a fixture of baseball for as long as the Los Angeles Dodgers!

John Thorn? He’s just baseball’s official historian. I’m sure he wouldn’t have anything useful to contribute.

Come on, guys. This is clearly broken. Whether you agree with the solutions Schoenfield has suggested in his article (I’ll let you read those for yourself) or not (I’m not certain I entirely do), something clearly has to be done.

The last thing I want to comment on is a relatively minor part of this story, but it comes from ESPN’s feature article on this subject:

Schilling, who works as an analyst for ESPN, knows how he would vote if he had a ballot.

“I wouldn’t vote for them ever,” he told “SportsCenter” when asked about Bonds, Clemens and Sosa.

Hardly the only guy to have that attitude. Here’s what makes it interesting, though. A few paragraphs earlier:

Craig Biggio, Mike Piazza and Curt Schilling are among the 24 first-time eligibles.

Okay, hold up for a second. Baseball writers can only choose 10 “yes” votes on a Hall of Fame ballot. I think that’s stupid, by the way, but without getting into that… is Curt Schilling campaigning for his Hall of Fame election using his position as a member of the media? And if he is… is there any way in which that isn’t one of the biggest conflicts of interest we’ve ever seen in the history of sports media? I’m not trying to overstate here, but… can you name a bigger one?

Guys, I’m in completely sports journalism junkie overdrive here. I’m sure it’ll take me a month or two to become tired of this story to the point of being disgusted with it. Trust me: the sports media is good at doing that, with SportsCenter top stories like, “We have absolutely nothing new to report about this, and we’re not even going to summarize what we already know about it, but our ratings guys tell us that we need to lead with this.” But for now, like I said… full sports journalism junkie overdrive.

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