Tampa Bay 36, Minnesota 17
I had Minnesota -5.5
Thursday Night Football is an unpredictable blender. You throw in some predictable factors and it scrambles them up until they somehow make the opposite of what you think they’d make.
This Week: 0-1 (0-1 outright)
Season: 49-55-1 (67-39 outright)
New England -7 over St. Louis (London)
Neutral sight, media circus… I feel like one of these teams is more familiar than the other one in this sort of situation, I have no idea why that could be…
Indianapolis +3.5 over At Tennessee
Tennessee has shown they can win games, especially with Hasselbeck under center, but asking them to do so by more than a field goal is really asking for too much. Plus, Andrew Luck is quietly having a great rookie season while all the attention is (deservedly so) on fellow rookie Robert Griffin III.
At Green Bay -14.5 over Jacksonville
Similar to the Bears/Jaguars game, I just don’t think you can set this line high enough to get me to take the points. Jacksonville is historically bad, and Green Bay is looking more and more like a playoff team every week.
San Diego -3 over At Cleveland
Cleveland has shown some surprising signs of life lately, and San Diego is reeling, but I still think Cleveland is outmatched here.
Atlanta +3 over At Philadelphia
Seattle +2.5 over At Detroit
Miami +2.5 over At NY Jets
Okay, we actually have three surprisingly analogous situations here. In all three of these games, I think the underdog is the vastly superior team. The question is whether you trust them on the road. I’m not necessarily saying I do, but I think at least two of these three wins their game outright, maybe all three.
Meanwhile, I really absolutely do think Atlanta’s bid for a perfect season is going to end soon, maybe even this week, but how does a 3-3 team get favored over them? And don’t give me that crap about how Andy Reid teams almost always win coming off a bye week. The Eagles are a mess.
At Chicago -7.5 over Carolina
Really? You only like Chicago by a little more than a touchdown here? Okay then!
Washington +4.5 over At Pittsburgh
I think Washington wins this game outright. I really do.
Oakland +1 over At Kansas City
Yeah, Oakland is pretty terrible, but Kansas City is the class of the league when it comes to terrible.
NY Giants -2.5 over At Dallas
Did you guys forget that Eli Manning loves playing at Cowboys Stadium? I think you did.
New Orleans +6 over At Denver (Denver outright)
I’m just not entirely comfortable taking that many points with the explosiveness New Orleans can bring.
San Francisco -7 over At Arizona
Vegas oddsmakers aren’t what we would call quick learners, are they?